Statistics · Probability · Bayesian thinking
Understanding uncertainty, from first principles.
I’m a psychologist writing about statistics, probability and mathematical modelling — for people in data, and for anyone who wants the intuition and not just the procedure.
Latest posts
Statistical Technicians
statistics
probability
teaching
Do We Really Need to Test Variances Anymore?
statistics
ANOVA
hypothesis testing
inference
Stop Pretending Data Roles Are Separate
data analysis
data science
data engineering
gripe
A Note on Confidence Intervals
statistics
probability
confidence intervals
hypothesis testing
A Brief Primer on p-values
statistics
probability
null hypothesis testing
methods
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Recently
Aug 2026
Returned to academic research, building models of food systems.
Apr 2026
Multi-part series on Maximum Likelihood Estimation underway — theory from first principles through to practical applications.
Nov 2024
Site launched. Publishing on statistics, probability, and Bayesian inference.